Daily Market Analysis

In-depth technical and fundamental analysis of key instruments — updated every trading day before the London open.

March 19, 2026 — Market Overview

Markets are digesting the Fed's dovish pivot with risk assets broadly higher. The dollar index (DXY) fell 0.4% to 103.20 as rate-cut expectations for Q3 increased to 78%. European equities outperformed on strong PMI data, while gold extended its record run above $3,200. Key focus today: US jobless claims (13:30 GMT) and existing home sales (15:00 GMT).

EUR/USD

1.0923
Bullish

Key Support Levels

1.08801.08351.0790

Key Resistance Levels

1.09501.10001.1050

Outlook

EUR/USD broke above the 1.0900 handle following strong Eurozone PMI data. The pair is trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming the bullish trend. RSI at 62 suggests room for further upside before overbought conditions. A daily close above 1.0950 would open the path to the psychological 1.1000 level.

Gold (XAU/USD)

$3,215
Strongly Bullish

Key Support Levels

$3,180$3,150$3,100

Key Resistance Levels

$3,240$3,280$3,320

Outlook

Gold continues its record-breaking rally, driven by safe-haven demand and central bank purchases. The metal is trading well above all major moving averages with strong momentum. However, RSI at 74 indicates overbought conditions — a pullback to the $3,180 support zone would offer a healthier entry for longs.

US500 (S&P 500)

5,842
Neutral-Bullish

Key Support Levels

5,8005,7605,700

Key Resistance Levels

5,8805,9205,960

Outlook

The S&P 500 rallied on Fed rate-cut expectations but faces resistance near the 5,880 level. Breadth has improved with the advance-decline line turning positive. Tech continues to lead, but defensive sectors are showing relative strength — a potential sign of late-cycle positioning. Watch for a breakout above 5,880 for continuation.

Previous Analyses

March 18, 2026Gold Extends Rally as Dollar Weakens
March 17, 2026EUR/USD Tests 1.0900 Ahead of PMI Data
March 14, 2026US500 Consolidates After CPI Surprise
March 13, 2026Yen Weakness Accelerates on BOJ Hold
March 12, 2026Oil Rebounds on OPEC+ Supply Concerns

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